Showing posts with label Finance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Finance. Show all posts

Monday, May 05, 2008

Windfall profits

I keep hearing this term. Windfall. Leftists/liberals are enraged by windfall profits. They want to take them away from the recipients and give them to people who will vote for Democrats. As with most things in politics (especially things that annoy liberals) it remains undefined. It is just accepted as fact that any person or entity making a certain amount of money is undeserved or unearned. Since said persons or entities are very wealthy to begin with the government is allowed to take that money in the name of "fairness". They won't miss it after all, they have plenty. I googled for a definition of "windfall" profit. The best I could come up with is this:



Windfall
Main Entry:
wind·fall Listen to the pronunciation of windfall
Pronunciation:
\ˈwin(d)-ˌfȯl\
Function:
noun
Date:
15th century

1 : something (as a tree or fruit) blown down by the wind 2 : an unexpected, unearned, or sudden gain or advantage



Windfall
Definition

Money received which was not expected and not a direct result of something the recipient did


So the definition is that these are profits that are unearned. How they are unearned is not explained. Oil companies are evil. Everyone knows that. They're screwing you and me to make money at the pump. Never mind that oil is the the largest global commodity market in the world. It can't be that. Or taxes. Or the fact that our refinement capacity hasn't grown in 30 years. Or that we have over 50 different blends nationwide that cannot be sold when there's an overage in one area and a shortage in another. None of those things cause high gas prices. Just the Evil Rich Oil Companies.

The other target of liberal ire is financiers who make millions. Except George Soros. He's exempt because he hates Bush. Never mind that he almost singlehandedly destroyed the British pound to make his money and caused immense hardship to a great many Britons in the process. All those sins are washed away because he funds leftist polemics.

Of late we've been hearing about the outrageous amount of money hedge funds and their managers are making. One example this week from from IHT. Excerpt:


Five managers earned more than $1 billion (€630,000 million).

One contributor to the enormous amounts of money hedge fund managers are making is the unraveling of the traditional "2 and 20" method of compensation. For years, funds typically charged 2 percent of the amount invested plus 20 percent of the profits.

Ezra Zask of Lakeville Capital Management, a hedge fund advisory, said some of the bigger hedge funds are now charging as much as 5 percent of the invested principal and 40 percent of the profits.

Some investors are willing to pay higher fees to funds' managers if they show they have consistently beaten the market, Zask said.

One manager — John Paulson of Paulson & Co. — earned $3.7 billion (€2.32 billion) last year, which management consultant Peter Cohan pointed out means Paulson in 2007 made 30 times in one hour what the median family made all year.


Leftist logic would intervene here and say that there's no way anyone could have earned that much money. Nothing he does or can do would be worth that much. The government should take at least 2 billion of that and give it to poor people. After all, who couldn't live on the remaining $1.7 billion? One key factor is that liberals always refer to income being "distributed" rather than earned. This post is an example but DonViti violates the rule by using the phrase "income earners". He will be sent to re-education at Berkley until he learns to use the phrase "income recipients" or "corporate fatcats". We cannot have people talking about earnings as that implies merit. Fairness of earnings is determined by how much the person really "needs". That is, once you are really rich you aren't entitled to earn any more money because you couldn't possibly need it. Whether or not it is fair to take money legally earned isn't the way things are viewed. Anyone who makes that much money must be exploiting someone, somewhere to do so. This logic is never applied to the entertainment industry. Singers, actors and sports stars don't have their earnings questioned. Primarily because they are assumed to be liberals and therefore, good people. Good people with lots of money do great things with it. And they have, somehow earned it. After all, they're famous. Being famous entitles you to riches and makes you immune from criticism regarding wealth. How this is so is beyond me. This too, is an unexplained article of faith. Back to the article:


Driven in part by fees hedge fund managers are making, income inequality in 2007 was at the highest level since 1928, the year before the Great Depression began.

In fact, even among hedge funds the disparity has widened, Cohan said: The top 50 managers make a disproportionate share of the fees earned in an industry that by some accounts has 10,000 funds.

Stunned by news stories about Schwarzman's lavish lifestyle, some members of Congress tried to change laws allowing hedge funds' profits to be taxed as "capital gains," at 15 percent, and not income at a rate more than twice that.



Emphasis mine. This is the most clear cut admission that class envy drives liberal politics than I've seen in a while. Congress sees someone living lavishly. Enjoying himself. Can't have that. No no no. We need to get our hands on that money. I have votes to buy!


Lower taxes notwithstanding, Xavier Gabaix, a finance professor at New York University, said it is not clear whether such gaping inequality is necessarily bad.

Because hedge fund managers make their money by charging fees on investments from rich people, these fees represent the redistribution of wealth from the rich to the very rich, he said.

By contrast, the income inequality plaguing many developing countries represents rich people profiting at the expense of the poor, he said.


Further, Gabaix said the economy may benefit when these managers spend the money they have earned.


So, taking money from the rich to give to the very rich. Where's the problem? Also, Professor Gabaix outs himself as a "trickle down" guy which is the financial equivalent of being a Flat Earth Scientist to liberals. They can write him off as a moron or a loon based on that last sentence.

What do they do with all that money? Some people think they have a huge pile of it stashed away gathering dust. They never consider that whether they save that money, invest it or spend it, they're creating jobs. Any activity aside from putting it in a pile and burning it, is going to employ somebody. What else do they do with it?


Several hedge fund managers have a reputation for philanthropy. According to one report, George Soros — the second-highest-paid hedge fund manager last year at $2.9 billion (€1.82 billion) — has spent $6 billion (€3.8 billion) on philanthropic activities ranging from fighting poverty in Africa to funding universities in Russia.


In a fit of mighty restraint, the IHT didn't include efforts to unseat President Bush in his list of philanthropic activities. I imagine there was a blood bath in the editor's meeting over that one.


James Simons, who took home $2.8 billion (€1.76 billion) as manager of Renaissance Technologies Corp., co-founded the Simons Foundation, which finances education and health projects.


That last bit is selling Mr. Simons rather short. Who is this guy anyway? Let's check his Wikipedia entry:


Autism research

The family's charitable foundation has committed $38 million to find the causes related to autism in recent years, and plans to spend another $100 million in what is becoming the largest private investment in the field of autism research, while Simons personally exerts extraordinary control over where and how his money is spent. Simons has provided DNA from his family for study (his daughter is autistic), and has given assistance in helping solve research problems. When MIT asked for brain research funding, he stipulated that the project focus on autism and include scientists of his choosing.

On June 11, 2003, the Simons Foundation hosted its first "Panel on Autism Research" in New York City, a day-long event highlighting research into the causes of autism, the accurate genomic mapping of autism, and in the study of the biochemical mechanisms that occur in people with autism. Attendees included David Amaral, Dr. Eric Courchesne, Dr. Nathaniel Heinz, Tom Insel, MD, Catherine Lord, PhD, Dr. Fred Volkmar and Dr. Paul Greengard. The Simons Foundation recently gave $10 million to two researchers at the Yale University Child Study Center to study genetic influences on autism.



He's a remarkable guy. He requires an unprecidented amount of control over the projects he funds. He personally chooses the scientists and requires frequent updates and briefings on their progress. Any project he funds has a maximum of 12% of administrative overhead. The rest goes to research. That money would never have been spent on autism research had the government seized it. It would likely be spent on something named after Robert C. Byrd. Simons is my hero for reasons that my reader(s) will find pretty obvious. We need men like him to fund valuable research that the government does not and will not. Even if he doesn't and wants to spend it on frivolous things, it doesn't matter. Its his money he earned it and he should get to keep it. If people really cared about what is fair and what is just rather than how much people should be allowed to keep we'd all be a lot better off.

Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Update(s)

So the dishwasher saga continues.

Repairman #2, who does not look like a Bears Superfan arrives. I give him the part and he sets to work in grim silence. Upon dismantling the door to the thing he pulls out the fried circuit board with a grim expression. He gives a harumphing noise that doesn't really sound like that but that's as close as I can get onomonpedically (I made a new word, take that Freeberg!)

Him: "That's melted pretty bad."

Me: "...."

Him: "The door handle is melted too."

Me: "um..what?"

Him: "The closing mechanism for the handle is right behind the circuit board so you couldn't see it and I guess the first guy didn't take it out so he wouldn't have seen it either."

Me: "And how much is that going to cost me?"

Him: "The part is nine dollars and twenty seven fifty for labor"

Me: "So, because the first guy didn't diagnose the whole problem I'm going to get hit with two labor charges?"

Him: "Yes."

Me: "No. Why should I pay for labor twice when I'm not the one who made a mistake."

Him: "Well, you'll have to call the office."

Me: "You can count on that."

He gets back to work in weighty silence. I pace the kitchen.

Him: "Here's another problem."

Me: "Fantastic. Now what?"

Him: "This replacement board is damaged. This relay is loose."

Me: "@@#$%%^$&"

I ask him how long he's being doing this.

Him: "32 years."

Thirty two years. That's a very long time. Long enough that I'm going to pick his brain.

Me: "What do you think I should do."

Him: "I'm not supposed to advise customers like that."

Me: "OK, if you were me, what would you do?

Him: "Well...if it were me, I'd be thinking about a replacement unit. I can repair this and maybe it will last me another 10 years. But I'll only have a 90 day warranty and when it surges like this you don't know what else was damaged. No way to know. If I were to buy a new one, I'd have at least a 2 year warranty and could even buy the extended 5 year for a hundred bucks."

After much deliberation, I sent him on his way with a refusal of service and asked him to refund my money rather than order yet another circuit board. The cost of repair is now right up against the cost of replacement. I am loathe to spend several hundred dollars on a new machine but am reluctant to throw good money after bad. What to do? I honestly haven't a clue. I ran over to Lowe's at lunch and looked at the models and frankly, they're all pretty similar w/in each price point. I want something that gets dishes clean and if possible is quiet. Those absurdly pie in the sky requirements put me in the $500-$700 range. For a machine that washes dishes. I kid you not.

Now I've got the devil and the angel on my shoulders. The angel is saying "repair it, all will be well. Don't spend the money for a new machine." The Devil says, "buy a new one with an extended warranty. If you fix this one and it dies in a year you'll have spent even more than you would have to replace it." (Frankly, I'm not sure who's the devil and who's the angel in this scenario. Readers are invited to speculate.)

So I'm at an impasse and am stuck with paper plates until I sort this one out.

Friday, February 22, 2008

My Luck Continues....

So Monday I'm standing in the kitchen making myself a sandwich. Kids are at school, baby is napping. Wife and I are talking about something or other and I smell the unmistakable acrid odor of burning plastic. I wheel around and see nothing on the stove. Oven is off...where...? My wife sees my dinner plate sized eyes and asks what's wrong. I can answer b/c I have a mouthful of sandwich and I try to gulp down my food while searching for the source of said smell. Dishwasher! Something plastic must be on the element. It's on and I open it. No steam and nothing on the element. The door, however, is very very hot. I close the door and see smoke coming from the vent that is normally reserved for steam. Shit. That is not good. I close it and the panel is dark. No lights, no numbers, no nuttin'. I check the warranty which, of course, expired in December. Fantastic.

One phone call to Whirlpool/Maytag/Big Monopoly Appliance Company/Ha Ha Screw You You're Out Of Luck. They graciously agree to send out a repair guy on Thursday. Oh and that will be $65 dollars if you don't agree to use them to do any repairs. Fantastic, thanks.

Thursday morning I get a call:

"Hello, I'm a phone drone from Nameless Appliance Repair calling to confirm your appointment for between 8:00 and 12:00 PM."

"OK, we'll be here."

"I also wanted to let you know that the technician might not arrive until after 12."

"No, he will arrive before 12. That's what you called to confirm."

"Well, he might be there after 12."

"No, you get him here before 12. That's the deal. You have a four hour window to meet and you're not extending it to some unknown time after 12."

"Well we tell everyone that."

"I don't care. You said between 8:00 and 12:00 that means before 12. If he's here after that, I'm not paying him."

"...."

"Call him and tell him to get here before 12 or you don't get paid. Period. G'bye."

We're not off to a good start.

11:52 PM. Mr. Tech arrives. An amiable fellow who looks like one of the Bears Superfans from that SNL skit.



He agrees that a 6 year old dishwasher should not give up the ghost. After much reassurance that I have indeed, flipped the breaker he opens it up.

"Oh, yeah." he says gravely and points with a screwdriver at a melted circuit board. "Oh yeah" is code for "this is going to cost you". And he's right. Parts and labor it's $285.34. Yes. Over two hundred and eighty five American dollars to fix said dishwasher. That's 50% of the purchase price. He asks me what I want to do. I have no choices. I have to fix it. Oh, and the he doesn't have the part. (Of course not). It should be in next week. Once it's in, I have to schedule an appointment for installation.

"OK", says I, "how long is the warranty on the new board? It's 5 years right?"

"Oh no. 90 days."

"You people are criminals."

"Don't blame me."

"I know. Do you think I'd get anywhere with Maytag/Whirlpool if I complained"

"Well, I don't work for them anymore and I'm not going to encourage you but you just might" he says with a slow nod and a knowing look.

Looks like I've got my work cut out for me.

Friday, November 09, 2007

YouTube of the Day

DV: This one's for you.

Wednesday, February 21, 2007

Class envy, class warfare

De la Where has a rant about wealthy and class envy. As usual, he's oversimplifying things to the point of straw man.


So in essence you are saying that I should get over my envy and become that which I despise?


That's a clear indication that you despise rich people. Liberals are supposed to be all about nuance but you paint rich people with the broadest brush possible. Are there no rich people who are not worthy of spite? If not, why not? Is there something intrinsically wrong with being rich?


That I should reward my self with enormous sums of money and force my employees to be squeezed financially more and more for my own gain?


No, there are plenty of rich people who own companies that don't do that. SAS Institute is a prime example.


Isn’t that called exploitation? Perhaps that is what angers us, not class envy.


Exploitation implies force. Employees are not forced to work in any job or for any employer.

Next up is a laundry list of perfidity:


I should aspire to get to the top of Home Depot, run the company into the ground then leave and be rewarded with a $210 mil package?


Probably not. I've been on record noting the trouble with executive comp. It's a very complicated issue and not one that can simply be lain at the feet of the CEOs.


I should backdate stocks to make more money?


No, that's illegal.


I should outsource jobs to save the company a few million and spread it out to the shareholders?


Probably. Depends on strategy, structure, market position, market capitalization and the amount you're saving. Again, globalization is here to stay. To stay competitive (read: in business) you have to follow suit. Nobody complained when banks brought jobs to Delaware because they were cheaper than New York. Yet these same people freak out when jobs move from Delaware (or the US) to somewhere cheaper.


I should by a $7000 shower curtain on the company’s credit card?


Only if you plan on re-imbursing the company. Otherwise, that's illegal.


I should hire contractors that will in turn hire illegal’s then claim it wasn’t my fault nor do I approve of such un American behavior?


So now you're against the hiring of illegal aliens?


Better yet maybe I should create accounting schemes that bankrupt a company and leave 50,000 people without a retirement package? Then go to court and claim the it wasn’t me defense and be shielded by a high price attorney.


No, that's illegal. I would only claim "it wasn't me" if, in fact, it wasn't me and if I ever find myself in court for any reason, I'd hire the best damn attorney I could possibly afford. You get what you pay for.


Better yet, I should fight tooth and nail with UAW about health care while I do nothing about the quality of my product.


The UAW is the reason the product has quality problems. Their goal isn't anything approximating fairness. They want to squeeze the auto industry dry by providing insanely high wages for their workforce and simultaneously shake down those employees for exorbitant dues used to fund political candidate, corruption and graft. There's a reason the US auto industry is referred to as "a healthcare and pension company that does auto work on the side".


Then lay off tens of thousands all the while I never once would even consider not paying dividends to share holders?


When you're hemmoraging billions per year you have to consolidate to stay alive. If you don't pay dividends to your shareholders they'll fire you.


Perhaps I should create a credit card company that charges 30% interest and better I will jack up a person’s APR to 30% if they are late on a competitors account. Then blame the person for being late and not being able to pay off their debt. After all this is the new ownership society and people need to take responsibility for their actions.


Another legitimate concern. The reason Delaware was able to lure jobs here is by making the incorporation rules favorable and then raising the ceiling on usuary laws. If you want to complain, talk to your legislators who control the maximum allowable rate for finance charges. While you're looking for their name and number, see if they have a D or an R after their name. Count the two and see which has the majority.

Tuesday, February 20, 2007

Don't believe the hype

Signs of the coming hedge-fund apocalypse.. So says Daniel Gross.

Excerpt:



Those same signs suggest that our next bubble is already here, and it's … hedge funds.

Let's review the classic warning signs:

1) Public investors are getting really excited when insiders sell, believing they're being cut in on a great deal.

2) Everybody and their mother is getting into the business.

3) As the naive newbies are plunging in, the successful early adapters move on to the next big thing.

4) In the late stages, the investment craze crosses over into the broader consumer culture.

5) My portfolio is in turnaround.


#5 notwithstanding, these would ordinarily be very good warning signs. However, he's missing the elephant in the room. Derivatives. The rise of derivatives which was once the subject of a fear mongering report on 60 Minutes is now largely responsible for the mass stability seen in global markets. This IMF report spells out how that works. Essentially, the rise of credit market derivatives has spread that risk out so the fluctuations are not confined to one sector or region. Further, the risk is also diversified upward into the secondary risk market the "risk wholesalers" if you will. Even sovereign risk has been significantly mitigated in its wake. Much of the reason we're seeing less currency devaluations than we did in the 1980's is directly attributable to the rise of derivatives.

Mr. Gross is missing the forest for the trees and it would be cynical of me to say that he would do so to sell copies of his book.