More on the impending DPRK nuclear test

Jagon. Most people think of it in abstract terms if at all. It is, however, very useful. It helps people identify others in their group and very quickly discern their level of involvment and knowledge of that group. It's found in professions, religion, politics, groups of friends and family and so on. Technical people use if for speed and efficiency of communication. Diplomats have their own jargon they use to send very clear signals from seemingly reserved language. For example;

South Korea warns North of 'grave consequences' of planned nuclear test

Grave consequences is the second most alarmist phrase a nation state can use to another. It indicates they are going to mobilize their armed forces for potential conflict and intend to use all non-military might to bear on their opponent. The only stronger words are "act of war". If the South Koreans had said they would continue such a threat an "act of war" they would be saying that they would attack the DPRK militarily and you could take it to the bank. Done deal.

This is a very dangerous game and it's going to get hotter. Only the North can diffuse it.


In the United States, which has said it would not tolerate a nuclear North Korea, U.S. Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said a successful nuclear test by North Korea would demonstrate weakness on the part of the world. That could prompt other countries to pursue nuclear weapons, he said.

"Because of the ineffectiveness, and the lack of cohesion and the inability to marshal sufficient leverage to prevent North Korea from proceeding toward a nuclear will kind of lower the threshold and other countries will step forward with it," Rumsfeld said.


"The IAEA is an abject failure and this is largely China's fault. I hope you're happy. We fully expect and will approve of Japanese efforts to go nuclear in response and probably modify it's constitution to expand its military.

Even Canada gets in on the action. One cheer for Canada.

MacKay described the statement as "very provocative," adding: "It is unacceptable to Canada, as it is to the entire international community."

But they lose the script entirely in the very next breath:

"We will raise our objections with North Korea every opportunity we get and we will, again, strongly urge North Korea to return to the six-party talks," MacKay said.

What does China have to say?

In its sharpest criticism yet, China pointedly warned Wednesday "no one is going to protect" North Korea in the event of a test.

"I think that they have to realize that they will face serious consequences," Chinese UN Ambassador Wang Guangya said.


"Kim, you've been an annoyance until now. A necessary one but we've had enough. We will stand aside and let the South pummel you into oblivion. Back down now before it's too late."

North Korea insists it needs atomic weapons to deter any possible attack from the United States, although Washington has repeatedly said it has no intention to invade.

Not yet anyway.

The North is believed to have enough material to build at least a half-dozen nuclear bombs but it's unclear whether it could deliver them accurately.

Well, they can't hit us anyway. They could certainly hit Japan if not as precisely as they'd like. The damn well could hit Seoul but that's a risk I don't know they'd be willing to take. That would mean nuking American troops which is certain suicide (unless a Democrat is in the White House).


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